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CoupCast

In fall 2021, the University of Central Florida and One Earth Future reached an agreement for the former to take over the CoupCast project. CoupCast is a political forecasting effort originally developed by Curtis Bell. As the name implies, the primary goal was to use novel data and machine learning to forecast coups d'etat. After Bell's (ridiculously) successful shift to maritime security issues, the project was managed by Clayton Besaw and Matthew Frank. Their coverage of monthly updates to the data project can be found on OEF Forecasting's (now inactive) Medium account.

Contributors to the relaunch of CoupCast are currently updating necessary data and code and updates leading up to the relaunch will be posted at Arrested Dictatorship. Inquiries regarding the project can be directed to Jonathan Powell, Associate Professor in the School of Politics, Security, and International Affairs at UCF.
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  • Home
  • Global Instances of Coups
  • Mutiny Monitor
    • Mutiny in Africa
    • Military Mutiny and Defections
  • REIGN
    • CoupCast
  • Blog